3D Contour Videos

In order for viewers to have a better visual perspective of the 3D Contours, I have uploaded the videos below to YouTube. These are a test of potential routes for how the website could develop and serve to help me decided how to proceed in the future. Eventually, I think I will upload versions which contain narration and investing ideas based on the graphs. Once I figure out how to map the date axis from integers to Dates that should improve the visual experience. In addition, I hope to figure out and be able to overlay the underlying time series for the 3D Contour in the foreground and or background panel.




The Bubble Contour Map

This is how I imagine the future of The Bubble Index. Instead of producing multiple indices for each window (52 days, 153 days, 256 days, etc…), a contour map will be generated which shows the entire spectrum of windows in a single graphic, evolving through time. As an example I have produced this contour map of Tesla (TSLA) from 2011-02-04 to 2014-08-29. Also, check out the Gold map below Tesla. I will update the Gold map as I calculate more data.

Download The Bubble Index Contour: TSLA

Gold – Week Ending May 20, 2013

May 20, 2013:

The bubble index for the price of gold, shown in the following figures, indicates that gold is undergoing a bubble. Based on my data, although limited to 2001-2013 the bubble index has traveled continuously upward. If I can find better weekly data for the price of gold, then this upward trend can be properly put into perspective. Or, the code may not be properly designed for commodity prices. The price data is not inflation adjusted.

Figure 1

Figure 1 shows the bubble index for the price of gold. One year window. The red line corresponds to the following (ignore the dates on the graph, they are incorrect):
1. September 8, 2006 – followed by an 8.6% drop shortly after
2. July 19, 2008 – followed by a 28% drop
3. August 19, 2011 – followed by a 13% drop

Figure 2

Figure 2 shows the bubble index for the price of gold. Three year window. The red line corresponds to the following:
1. July 11, 2008 – followed by a 25% drop

Figure 3

Figure 3 shows the bubble index for the price of gold. Six year window.

Figure 4

Figure 4 shows the bubble index for the price of gold. Seven year window.