Elliott Wave Count and LPPL Oscillations

In the following chart, you can see a relationship between The Bubble Index and Elliott Waves. The Elliott Wave Count is from the ELLIOTT WAVE lives on; the blog of Anthony Caldaro. His charts can be found here.

The Bubble Index 1764 days tends to peak with Intermediate waves i, iii, and iv; while The Bubble Index 1260 days tends to peak with Major waves 1, 3, and 5.

Supercycle: Light Blue
Blue: Primary
Black: Major
Intermediate: Purple

The Great Bond Bubble

As Martin Armstrong recently said (here), the current equity correction is a side show to the growing bubble in bonds around the world. Specifically, the 10-Year United States Treasury, as shown in the graphs below, is in the process of bubble formation. The Bubble Index: TNX (2520/5040/10080 Days) shows signs of a long term build-up in bond market tension. Imagine inflating a balloon, eventually it will pop. “When will it break?” is the question everyone is asking. I suggest that we will see it happen once either of the 2520, 5040, or 10080 day indices peak and roll-over. According to Armstrong, this will begin to occur on 2015.75. The Bubble Index does not rule out this date, only time will tell…

LPPL Model Working

Honestly, I am shocked at how well The Bubble Index timed this market correction.

The Bubble Index: S&P 500 (1764 days) peaked on September 22, 2014. That was 21 days ago, the critical time variable, Tc, in the code.

Today’s S&P 500 sell-off was intense, to say the least… down 1.65%. And this wasn’t the only day with huge losses. Since the market peaked on September 19th, it has lost about 10%.