hong kong – LPPL Market Watch http://localhost Blog of The Bubble Index Wed, 07 Feb 2018 02:25:07 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.9.4 Hang Seng – Week Ending May 10, 2013 https://lpplmarketwatch.com/2013/05/16/hang-seng-week-ending-may-10-2013/ https://lpplmarketwatch.com/2013/05/16/hang-seng-week-ending-may-10-2013/#respond Thu, 16 May 2013 19:12:00 +0000 https://lpplmarketwatch.com/?p=102 May 10, 2013:

Looking at the Figure 1, I do not see any chances of there being a bubble in the Hang Seng Index at this time. However, based on Figure 2, there may a be growing peak.

Figure 1

Figure 1 produced with C++ code. Hang Seng Index. Seven year window of data. Every data point is a new week. Every peak in the market is represented by a red vertical line.
1. August 4, 1997 — followed by a 46.6% drop
2. July 17, 2000 — followed by a 19.8% drop
3. February 23, 2004 — followed by a 18.9%
4. October 29, 2007 — followed by a 58.6% drop
5. April 4, 2011 — followed by a 27.9% drop

Figure 2

Figure 2 produced with C++ code. Hang Seng Index. Six year window of data. Every data point is a new week. Every peak in the market is represented by a red vertical line.
1. August 4, 1997 — followed by a 46.6% drop
2. January 4, 1999 — followed by a quick 14% drop
3. July 17, 2000 — followed by a 19.8% drop
4. February 23, 2004 — followed by a 18.9%
5. October 29, 2007 — followed by a 58.6% drop
6. May 12, 2008 — followed by a 51% drop
7. November 30, 2009 — followed by a 13% drop
8. April 4, 2011 — followed by a 27.9% drop

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