dollar – LPPL Market Watch

TNX Update

lpplmarketwatch — Fri, 13 Mar 2015 04:15:05 +0000

With the upcoming FOMC meeting, it is worth revisiting the CBOE 10-Year Gov’t Rate (TNX). It appears that the 8,100 day window, which recently peaked is trying to find a direction. Will the bubble continue? In the actual data files, the 8,200 day window peaked on February 13; the 8,100 day window also peaked on February 13 — only to peak again on February 27. This indicates that we could be near a phase transition in the 10-Year rate. I am not yet sure what this graph implies. This is a very long term signal, since 8,200 days is about 33 business years. Remember that not all bubbles are followed by a crash.

The Bubble Index 3D Contour: Gold USD (1968 – 2015)

lpplmarketwatch — Thu, 26 Feb 2015 03:01:10 +0000

Here are several pictures obtained in 3DField of The Bubble Index Contour: Gold USD (1968 – 2015).

The Great Bond Bubble

lpplmarketwatch — Sat, 18 Oct 2014 04:45:00 +0000

As Martin Armstrong recently said (here), the current equity correction is a side show to the growing bubble in bonds around the world. Specifically, the 10-Year United States Treasury, as shown in the graphs below, is in the process of bubble formation. The Bubble Index: TNX (2520/5040/10080 Days) shows signs of a long term build-up in bond market tension. Imagine inflating a balloon, eventually it will pop. “When will it break?” is the question everyone is asking. I suggest that we will see it happen once either of the 2520, 5040, or 10080 day indices peak and roll-over. According to Armstrong, this will begin to occur on 2015.75. The Bubble Index does not rule out this date, only time will tell…

The Bubble Index: TNX (1260/1764 Days)

The Bubble Index: TNX (2520/5040/10080 Days)

The Bubble Index: Euro/Dollars – August 23, 2013

lpplmarketwatch — Sat, 24 Aug 2013 18:27:00 +0000

No sign of a bubble in the Euro.

The Bubble Index: Euro/Dollars – August 23, 2013